HomeMy WebLinkAboutContract 44200 (2)CITY SECRETARY
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CONTRACT NO....4.'3
MEMORANDUM OF UNDERSTANDING
Between
The City of Fort Worth
and
The University of Massachusetts, Amherst
1. PARTIES. The parties to this Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) are the
University of Massachusetts, Amherst (UMass) on behalf of its Center for Collaborative
Adaptive Sensing of the Atmosphere ("CASA"), a National Science Foundation (NSF)
funded Engineering Research Center with the lead institution being University of
Massachusetts at Amherst located at 70 Butterfield Terrace, Amherst, MA 01003
and the City of Fort Worth, Texas, ("City") located at 1000 Throckmorton Street, Fort
Worth, Texas, 76102.
2. PURPOSE. The purpose of this MOU is to confirm the collaboration between the City
and UMass and the financial commitment of the City in accordance with the Accelerating
Innovation Research (AIR) grant (NSF IIP-1237767 awarded to UMass
3. RESPONSIBILITIES.
a. University of Massachusetts, Amherst:
1. UMass shall participate in a collaborative effort with the city in accordance
with the terms and conditions of the NSF grant and the scope of work contained
in the grant proposal.
2. UMass, using best efforts, will work with its collaborators to meet the goals,
metrics and milestones described in Section VI. B, Urban Flash Flood
Warning Systems, of the AIR grant proposal (Appendix A).
b. City of Fort Worth:
1. The City agrees to participate in a collaborative manner with UMass in
accordance with the grant proposal throughout the life of the AIR grant.
2. The City shall pay UMass an amount of $150,000.00 for year 1 of the AIR
grant. Upon authorization by the NSF of year 2 of the AIR grant, the City
shall pay UMass an additional amount of $150,000.00. All funds provided to
UMass shall be considered third party matching funds in accordance with
City's letter dated September 28, 2012.
4. POINTS OF CONTACT.
a. City of Fort Worth
The primary POC is Amy Cannon, (817) 392-2289.
Email address: amy.cannon@fortworthtexas.gov
02--2 "1-1 : P03 : i "1 IN
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b. University of Massachusetts, Amherst
The primary technical POC is Brenda Philips, (413)-478-4460
Email address: bphilips@ees.umass.edu
The primary administrative POC is Theresa Girardi (413) 545-0698,
Email address: twg@research.umass.edu
5. ENTIRETY OF AGREEMENT. This MOU, consisting of 3 pages, represents the
entire and integrated agreement between the parties and supersedes all prior discussions,
negotiations, representations and agreements whether written or oral as related
specifically to the teuus of the AIR grant.
6. OTHER PROVISIONS. Nothing in this MOU is intended to conflict with current law
or regulation or the directives of UMass, the City or the terms of the NSF grant. If any
term of this MOU is found to be inconsistent with such authority, then that term shall be
declared invalid, but remaining terms and conditions of this MOU shall remain in full
force and effect.
7. TERM. This MOU is effective on 1/15/13 .and will remain in place until the NSF grant
end date of 6/30/14 unless terminated under Paragraph 9.
8. MODIFICATION. This MOU may be modified upon the mutual written consent of the
parties. Any such written communications should be sent to the following persons at the
following addresses:
City of Fort Worth:
Amy Cannon
Professional Engineer
Transportation and Public Works
1000 Throckmorton Street
Fort Worth, TX 76102
UMass:
Brenda Philips
PI
209 Knowles Engineering Building
151 Holdsworth Way
Amherst, MA 01003
Copies to: Theresa Girardi
9. TERMINATION. This MOU may be terminated prior to the NSF grant end date per
mutual written agreement of the parties.
[SIGNATURES APPEAR ON FOLLOWING PAGE]
Executed by:
CITY OF FORT WORTH, TEXAS
c"2"301440.4
Fernando Costa
Assistant City Manager
Date: 2/ZO/IS
APPROVAL RECOMMENDED:
By:
Douglas Wrsig
Director, Transportation & Publi orks
z ci
APPROVED AS TO FORM AND
LEGALITY
A*r
By: itery_ ftg
Douglas`VJ. Black
Assistant City Attorney
ATT
aa_
(,$clary"J. Kayser
City Secretary
M&C No.:
M&C Date:
C-26055
1/15/2013
•
•
UNIVERSITY OF MASSACHUSETTS,
AMHERST
Theresa Girardi, Assistant Director
Grant and Contract Admin.
Date:
OFFICIAL RECORD
CITY SECRETARY
Fr WORTHS TX
•
•
COVER SHEET FOR PROPOSAL TO THE NATIONAL SCIENCE FOUNDATION
PROGRAM ANNOUNCEMENT/SOLICITATION NO./CLOSING DATER no in response to a program announc menUsolicitation enter NSF 11-1
NSF 12-511 03/01/12
FOR CONSIDERATION BY NSF ORGANIZATION UNIT(S) (Indicate the most specific unit known, i.e. program, division, etc.)
Rsrch,(continued) „ccelerating Innovation
I
DATE RECEIVED NUMBER OF COPIES DIVISION ASSIGNED FUND C
103/01/2012 2 0707000011P 8019
EMPLOYER IDENTIFICATION NUMBER (EIN) OR SHOW PREVIOUS AWARD NO. IF THIS IS
TAXPAYER IDENTIFICATION NUMBER (TIN) 0 A RENEWAL
0 AN ACCOMPLISHMENT -BASED RENEWAL
043167352
NAME OF ORGANIZATION TO WHICH AWARD SHOULD BE MADE
University of Massachusetts Amherst
AWARDEE ORGANIZATION CODE (IF KNOWN)
0022210000
NAME OF PRIMARY PLACE OF PERF
University of Massachusetts Amherst
FOR NSF USE ONLY
NSF PROPOSAL NUMBER
1237767
ODE DUNS# (Data Universal Numbering System)
153926712
FILE LOCATION
07/17/2012 3:04pm S
IS THIS PROPOSAL BEING SUBMITTED TO ANOTHER FEDERAL
AGENCY? YES ❑ NO w IF YES, LIST ACRONYM(S)
ADDRESS OF AWARDEE ORGANIZATION, INCLUDING 9 DIGIT ZIP CODE
Research Administration Building
70 Butterfield Terrace
AMHERST MA 01003-9242
ADDRESS OF PRIMARY PLACE OF PERF, INCLUDING 9 DIGIT ZIP CODE
University of Massachusetts Amherst
70 Butterfield Terrace
Amherst ,MA ,010039242 ,US.
IS AWARDEE ORGANIZATION (Check AU That Apply) ■ SMALL BUSINESS 0 MINORITY BUSINESS I 0 IF THIS IS A PRELIMINARY PROPOSAL
(See GPG II.0 For Definitions) ❑ FOR -PROFIT ORGANIZATION 0 WOMAN -OWNED BUSINESS THEN CHECK HERE
TITLE OF PROPOSED PROJECT CASA Warning System Innovation Institute
REQUESTED AMOUNT PROPOSED DURATION (1-60 MONTHS) REQUESTED STARTING DATE
$ 766,664 24 months 09/01/12
CHECK APPROPRIATE BOX(ES) IF THIS PROPOSAL INCLUDES ANY OF THE ITEMS LISTED BELOW
❑ BEGINNING INVESTIGATOR (GPG I.G.2)
❑ DISCLOSURE OF LOBBYING ACTIVITIES (GPG II.C.1.e)
❑ PROPRIETARY & PRIVILEGED INFORMATION (GPG I.D, II.C.1.d)
HISTORIC PLACES (GPG II.C.21)
EAGER* (GPG II.D.2) 0 RAPID** (GPG II.D.1)
VERTEBRATE ANIMALS (GPG II.D.6) IACUC App. Date
PHS Animal Welfare Assurance Number
PI/PD DEPARTMENT
Engineering Research Center
■
■
■
PI/PD FAX NUMBER
413-577-1995
NAMES (TYPED)
PI/PD NAME
Brenda J Philips
CO-PI/PD
CO-PI/PD
CO-PI/PD
CO-PI/PD
SHOW RELATED PRELIMINARY PROPOSAL NO.
IF APPLICABLE
CO HUMAN SUBJECTS (GPG II.D.7) Human Subjects Assurance Number
Exemption Subsection or IRB App. Date Pending
0 INTERNATIONAL COOPERATIVE ACTIVITIES: COUNTRY/COUNTRIES INVOLVED
(GPG
■
HIGH RESOLUTION GRAPHICS/OTHER GRAPHICS WHERE EXACT COLOR
REPRESENTATION IS REQUIRED FOR PROPER INTERPRETATION (GPG I.G.1)
PI/PD POSTAL ADDRESS
Research Administration Building
70 Butterfield Terrace
AMHERST MA 010039242
United States
High Degree Yr of Degree
Telephone Number Electronic Mail Address
MBA 1986 413-577-2213 bphilips@ecs.umass.edu
Page 1 of 2
Electronic Signature
COVER SHEET FOR PROPOSAL TO THE NATIONAL SCIENCE FOUNDATION
FOR CONSIDERATION BY NSF ORGANIZATION UNIT(S) - continued from page 1
(Indicate the most specific unit known, I.e. program, division, etc.)
IIP - PARTNRSHIPS FOR INNOVATION-PFI
Continuation Page
PROJECT SUMMARY
This Accelerating Innovation Research (AIR) project will launch an innovation ecosystem for weather
warning systems technologies, and processes developed by the Collaborative Adaptive Sensing of
Atmosphere (CASA) Engineering Research Center. CASA's partners are the Stormwater Management
Division in the City of Fort Worth and the National Weather Service's Office of Science and
Technology, and Ft. Worth Weather Forecast Office. Additional partners include: University of Texas
Arlington, University of North Texas, and Fort Worth Emergency Management Operations. The focus
of the activities to be performed under this AIR project will take place in the Dallas Fort Worth (DFW)
Metroplex, the 4th largest urban area in the U.S. in 4 — 8 radar test bed that disseminates data in real
time to users for decision -making.
Intellectual Merits
This AIR project will enable very high -resolution lower atmospheric observations to transition into
operations and use, and create new knowledge in hydrology, hazards response, and system engineering.
CASA quantitative precipitation estimates will be coupled with enhanced high resolution hydrologic
and hydraulic models to enable improved, finer scale risk assessment and warning for urban floods. In
addition, guidelines for the optimal scale of rainfall -runoff modeling given the available scale of the
rainfall rate products will be assessed. Social science methods will evaluate human response to flood
warnings with recommended warning strategies. This will be one of the first deployments of X-band
radars for flood warning in the United States. In addition, the AIR project will support translational
research in high resolution analyses of the current state of the atmosphere that pinpoint areas where
storm development will occur. These activities will result in the creation of new knowledge in the
fields of flash flood warning, storm initiation, and urban -scale decision -making.
Broader Impacts
Weather has significant societal impacts. 3.4% or $485 billion of the 2008 US gross domestic product is
sensitive to weather variability, and the extreme weather of 2011 resulted in at least 922 deaths and
more than $70 billion in total economic losses. CASA networks deployed in urban areas could mitigate
some of this socioeconomic vulnerability. This AIR project will develop new ownership/operations
models for deploying radar networks, or other safety infrastructure. Rather than rely on federal funding
and federal ownership, a locally -driven, model in which a regional catalyst brings together multiple
private/public, local/national stakeholders to fund hardware and operational costs of a regional warning
system will be created. The goal is to create a replicable model for other urban areas in the United
States.
Key Words: Radar Meteorology, Hydrology, Sense and Response Systems, Meteorological
Assimilation and Analyses, Business Plan Development, Hazardous Weather
I. Overview
The socioeconomic impacts of weather range from minor traffic delays due to a flooded or icy road to
loss of life, property, and severe economic disruption due to tornadoes, ice storms, and flash flooding. For
example, 3.4% or $485 billion of the 2008 US gross domestic product is sensitive to weather variability
(Lazo et al. 2011), and the extreme weather of 2011 resulted in at least 922 deaths (NCDC 2011) and
more than $70 billion in total economic losses (Insurance Information Institute 2012).
In the United States, the 159 long-range NEXRAD radars owned and operated by the National Weather
Service (NWS) are currently the main source of sensor data for severe weather warnings and forecasts of
tornadoes and flash flooding. The problem with these radars is that they have gaps in lower atmospheric
sensing, in spatial and temporal resolution, and in user -oriented information. To address these gaps in the
current weather observation system, the NSF Engineering Research Center (ERC) for Collaborative
Adaptive Sensing of Atmosphere (CASA) has developed a new paradigm for weather warning systems
based on dense networks of small radars (McLaughlin, et al., 2009). This new paradigm addresses the
complete end -to -end weather warning system from radar observation to forecaster and emergency
manager decision -making through human response. The success of the test bed demonstrations of this
socio-technical system from 2006-2011 in Oklahoma has led to several National Research Council reports
recommending the adoption and deployment of CASA-type weather warning systems as a supplement to
existing or future large -radar weather observing systems (NRC reports).
Traditionally transfer of a technology such as CASA's to the weather enterprise — the collection of public
and private organizations that collect, disseminate and use weather information — has been driven by
National Weather Service requirements and funded through the federal budget. The 159 NEXRAD radars
were built and deployed through a large federal appropriation to the NWS and then contracted out to
industry (Friday 1994). However, in some cases, the pace of technology development exceeded the
weather enterprises' ability to move new science and technology discoveries into practice. For example,
dual -polarization upgrades to the NEXRAD system to improve rain measurement are being implemented
over the next two years, but the technology was validated over 20 years ago (Cate 2010). In other cases,
as now, due to the economy and the current political environment, it has become very difficult for the
NWS to obtain the budget needed for acquiring and operating new sensor infrastructure.
CASA-ERC will collaborate with National Weather Service -Office of Science and Technology and City
of Fort Worth, Transportation and Public Works Department, Stormwater Management Division to
establish the CASA Warning System Innovation Institute (CASA-WSII), This innovation ecosystem
seeks to develop public -private partnerships to accelerate the translation of its warning system and related
technologies into operation. The focus of the activities to be performed under this AIR project will take
place in the Dallas Fort Worth (DFW) Metroplex, the 4th largest urban area in the U.S and will focus on
four key activities:
1. Shared ownership/operations model. Rather than rely on federal funding and federal ownership,
CASA-WSII will pilot a locally -driven model in which a regional catalyst brings together
multiple private/public, local/national stakeholders to fund hardware and operational costs of a
regional warning system. The goal is to create a replicable model for other urban areas in the
United States.
2. Systems -level translational research to quantify the value of CASA warning systems to a variety
of different stakeholders to encourage their participation in the shared ownership/operations
funding model
3. Technology -level translational research of major sub -components of the CASA warning system,
such as the radars, signal processing algorithms, and radar control architecture to start-ups and
existing instrument manufacturers and suppliers.
4. Involvement of students in translational research, business plan creation and market assessment.
The platform for translational research and shared ownership model is the 4-node radar network (with
planned expansion to 8 radars) that the CASA-ERC is currently in the process of deploying in the DFW
Metroplex. Starting in spring 2012, the CASA DFW radar network will disseminate real-time weather
information to public and private stakeholders for evaluation and decision -making as severe weather
events occur in the Metroplex. In this way, this end -to -end system from radar observation to
socioeconomic impact, will serve as a living lab for achieving the goals of CASA WSII. It will serve as a
platform where university researchers, start-ups, existing companies, public practitioners and
organizations, and third party investors collaborate, and students learn about the technology transfer
process.
Initial projects for CASA-WSII include development of high resolution flood warning systems for urban
areas productization of the radar network control architecture; storm initiation products through fusing
CASA observations with other sensor observations for NWS Forecasters; piloting of a shared ownership
and operations model for CASA radar networks; creation of economic models that estimate the job
creation and tax revenue benefits of CASA information or other data; and entrepreneurship education.
II. Partners
CASA-ERC (University of Massachusetts, Colorado State University, University of Oklahoma,
University of Colorado, Colorado Springs) will enter into synergistic partnerships with:
• National Weather Service. Office of Science and Technology. Ft. Worth Weather Forecast Office
{federally funded). The Office of Science and Technology's (OST) mandate is to drive science and
technology advances into NWS operations. OST will enable access to NWS personnel and facilities
such as systems engineers to integrate CASA real-time data into the display platform for the Ft
Worth Weather Forecast Office; collaborations with Subject Matter Experts (SME) on operational
meteorology through the Ft. Worth forecast office NWS is also interested in new models of
deploying and operating sensors.
• City of Fort Worth. Transportation and Public Works Department (TPWD), municipally funded
CASA-WSII will develop a high -resolution flood warning system integrating CASA rainfall rate data
in collaboration with personnel from the TPWD's Stormwater Division, and also access historical
data, and hydraulic models. This flood warning system can be a model, both regionally and nationally
of CASA s capabilities.
Other translational research partners include:
• U. ofTexas Arlington. Civil Engineering Department
• U. of North Texas, Denton. Murahv Center for Entrepreneurship. Discovery Park business incubator
• AECOM Technical Services. a Fortune 500 technical and engineering services firm
• Ridgeline Instruments. an X-Band radar start-up comvanv
Third party investors are:
• City of Fort Worth. Transportation and Public Works Department. Storm Water Division,— $300,000
cash
• National Weather Service Office of Science and Technology — $275,000 cash
• North Central Texas Council of Governments (NCTCOG) --$60,000 in -kind. NCTCOG is a regional
voluntary organization, funded by local governments, that strengthens both the individual and
collective power of local governments and helps them recognize regional opportunities. NCTCOG
serves the 16 county area of DFW. As part of the AIR proposal, NCTCOG will play the role of the
regional catalyst behind the shared ownership model. They will establish a non-profit organization
that will house the CASA-WSII, and donate senior executive and staff time to the project
• Ridgeline Instruments — $75,000 in -kind contribution of commercial grade X-band radar from this
start-up.
2
• Fort Worth Emergency Management Overations — 456,000 in kind contribution of staff time to
collaborate with university researchers on decision making impacts of flood warning or severe
weather warning products.
III. CASA Engineering Research Center
For the past 9 years, the CASA-ERC has been dedicated to revolutionizing the nation's ability to observe,
understand predict, and respond to hazardous weather events. The center has pursued an innovative, low-
cost, densely networked X-Band radar sensing paradigm to overcome the resolution and coverage
limitations of the current WSR-88D NEXRAD weather radars (McLaughlin et al. 2009). The short-range
and close spacing of CASA radars gives them the ability to scan low to the ground with very high spatial
resolution. Overlapping coverage allows each voxel in the network to be simultaneously viewed by two or
more radars, allowing for multi -Doppler wind vector retrievals and a solution to the increased attenuation
experienced at X-band A radar control architecture that adaptively steers the beams of the radars gives
the system high temporal updates of where the weather is occurring.
CASA's fundamental, technology and systems -level research were evaluated in a prototype system -level
test bed located in southwestern Oklahoma. CASA operated 4 dual-pol multi -Doppler radars where high
resolution observations, derived products and forecasts were disseminated in real time to off -duty NWS
forecasters and on -duty local emergency managers for evaluation and decision making This proof -of -
concept test bed demonstrated networked X-band radar engineering and meteorology (Junyent and
Chandrasekar 2009, McLaughlin et al 2007); user -responsive networked system architecture (Zink et al.
2010; Pepyne et al 2008; Philips et al. 2008); precipitation estimation (Wang and Chandrasekar 2010);
nowcasting, real-time analysis and numerical weather prediction (Brewster et al. 2005 Hu et al. 2006;
Brotzge et al. 2010; Brewster et al. 2010) integrated warning systems and decision making (Philips et al.
2010; Bass et al 2011; League et al. 2010), and societal vulnerability and public response to weather
information (Donner 2007; Trainor 2011). These all came together in an integrated system when on May
24, 2011 an emergency manager using CASA data made life saving decisions as an EF4 tornado with
estimated peak winds of 190 mph approached his city (BostonGlobe.com 2011, Philips et al. 2012)
(Figure 1)
•N
Figure 1. Comparison of NEXRAD (left) and CASA (right) reflectivity data as
an EF4 tornado looms over the city of Chickasha, Oklahoma. The precision of
CASA data enables
facilities, equipment and other resources information in supplementary
information on CASA.
CASA-ERC is supporting this
effort to sustain the center's
activities after NSF-ERC funding
ends in September 2013 The
AIR proposal opportunity enables
CASA-ERC to fund
collaborations with new research
partners; address business
models; attract critical third -party
funding; and enable the
establishment of a new
organizational entity the can
sustain CASA's research effort
after the grant ends. See the
documents section for more
IV. Dallas Fort Worth Urban Demonstration Network
The Dallas Fort Worth Urban Demonstration Network will be a key infrastructure to speed the transition
of the warning systems and technology into practice. Whereas the Oklahoma test bed focused on
demonstrating proof -of -concept, Dallas Fort Worth test bed (through the AIR proposal) will focus on
3
demonstrating proof -of -value to key stakeholders who can support the commercialization of a CASA
network. This end -to -end test bed will operate a multi -Doppler, dual-polarimetric radar network covering
majority of the 6.5 million people in the region. In addition, CASA-ERC will incorporate existing sensors
in the region such as airport (TDWR) radars, rain gauges and privately -owned sensors for creating new
products through data fusion and for validation purposes. IT infrastructure for data mining, radar control,
and data dissemination will be housed at NWS Southern Region Headquarters (SRH).
CASA-ERC and the North Central Texas Council of Governments have signed a Memorandum of
Understanding to operate the DFW test bed and to conduct joint fundraising to support on -going
operations for the next five years. Plans for radar operations are as follows:
Figure 2. Layout of the 8 radars test bed in the DFW
Metroplex . Each radar has a range of 40 km.
Phase 1. Four research -grade UMass CASA radars
test bed for operations starting in spring 2012.
Phase 2. Four commercial -grade CASA-style X-
band radars with networking capabilities will be
added. Two radars will be provided by OU/EEC
(Enterprise Electronics Corporation) through cost -
share committed to CASA-ERC; one from industry
partner EWR and• one radar through a new start-up
company Ridgeline Instruments a joint
collaboration of Colorado State University through
an in -kind contribution that is part of this AIR
proposal (Figure 2)
Phase 3. Expansion of the network to a total of 16
— 20 radars through the shared ownership/
operations to cover the entire 16 county region of
the Metroplex.
See the facilities, equipment and other resources information in supplementary documents section for
more information on CASA and DFW Urban Demonstration Network.
V. CASA Warning System Innovation Institute: Strategy
CASA-WSII seeks to develop a shared ownership/operations model for regional networks of radars. The
regional network could be in an urban area or in an area with poor lower atmospheric radar coverage
The focus during the two years of the AIR grant will be on urban areas that would t) benefit from low-
level, "neighborhood scale" data and ii) have a diversity of stakeholders who might pay for the system.
To provide a sense of the potential of the market, the top 50 Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSA),
represent 54% of the total US population and occupy 3.5 million square miles (US Census 2010). In
order to provide coverage for the entire 16 county, 12 223 square mile area surrounding Dallas Fort
Worth, an estimated 20 CASA-type small radars would need to be deployed. Applying this coverage
ratio to the top 50 MSAs, the urban market represents approximately 472 radars At a per radar cost of
$500k — $700k (installed), a rough estimate of the potential urban market ranges from $223 million to
$312 million; however, the average city, with a 5303 sa. mile footprint. would only nay $4.5 — $6.2
million for an 8 node CASA system for their region. Our initial per annum estimate for operations and
maintenance of an 8-node network is $500,000 (based on experience in the test bed). It seems very
feasible for an urban area to share that level of cost among its public and private stakeholders.
Considering, for example, the budgets allocated annually by major Texas cities on flood water monitoring
4
and management, the flash flood warning alone could fund the operations of a CASA network when one
considers that a CASA network is equivalent to having rainfall rates every 800 feet. From the point of
view of a small to medium size radar vendor, such as Ridgeline Instruments, a startup specializing in
CASA-type radar technologies, a 400+ unit market is quite attractive. The potential market for regional
deployments that address low -altitude gaps in radar coverage is an order of magnitude larger approximately 70% of the US lacks NEXRAD coverage below 1 km. Using the same coverage ratio, the
gap filling market is equivalent to - 4,000 radars or a roughly $2 billion market. A modified shared
ownership model could be used for this market also.
CASA-WSII strategy focuses on:
• Continuing to move the system and component technology towards operational usage through
translational research projects; offering cost-effective rapid prototyping and validation in a live
environment through the test bed.
• Developing the business models that support deployment of systems of 8 — 30 radars, including
market assessment, hardware acquisition models, data licensing models, and scalable operations
models.
• Demonstrating value to stakeholders in applications such as transportation, stormwater
management, aviation through the DFW test bed.
Milestones for each of the projects are listed at the end of the description.
VI. CASA Warning System Innovation Institute: Projects
A. Business Models/Commercialization
1. Topics in Entrepreneurship Course - Through the University of North Texas Murphy Center for
Entrepreneurship a new course, "Topics in Entrepreneurship" will be offered to graduate students
and seniors interested in exploring market analysis, business models and commercialization
strategies for CASA technologies (and other UNT research). Student Venture Teams comprised
of UNT graduate students from Business, Computer Science and Engineering, Electrical
Engineering Economics, the Texas Center for Digital Knowledge, the Emergency Management
program and Natural Hazards Research will form interdisciplinary teams. These teams will work
together, with involvement from the graduate students and staff researchers involved in CASA-
WSII translational research activities, to evaluate the technologies and processes for commercial
potential and prepare documentation to secure funding to bring the best ideas to the marketplace.
Student Venture Teams will work closely with mentors from the DFW area, who have expertise
in Emergency Management. Coordination with researchers and faculty from participating
universities will also be coordinated through the Murphy Center for Entrepreneurship Graduate
students, participating on the Venture Teams, will gain academic credit and valuable experience
in understanding business decisions involved in technology commercialization Insight specific to
opportunities in weather radar systems and markets they serve will also be an added value to
students. In addition to business plans, the course will address market assessment, hardware
acquisition models, data licensing models; and scalable operations models for the urban market.
Tony Mendes, Entrepreneurship, University of North Texas
2. Job Growth and Tax Revenue — The Weather Enterprise lags behind other industries in being able
to quantify economic impacts. This project will develop models demonstrating the job creation
and tax revenue generation potential of the DFW network through input/output (I/O) analysis.
Based on Bureau of Economic Analysis annual surveys, I/O data shows the structure of an
industry, how much materials, labor, capital is required to produce a unit of output. They also
show the linkages among different industry sectors in the economy. In this way, I/O tables can
show how a dollar invested (or saved) in one industry has a multiplier effect in others. This
method is used extensively to show the benefits of public investment, but has not yet been used
5
by the Weather Enterprise. Using an approach developed in Pollin et al. (2009) a model will be
developed for an expanded weather radar market, and also to quantify how improved data can
result in jobs. Brenda Philips, Resource Economics, University of Massachusetts
Milestones Entrepreneurship Course
6 month Develop student skill
assessment tool
Market Evaluation
Develop network of mentors
in DFW.
12 months Develop at least 1 business
plan with Student Venture
Teams
Develop operations model
18 months Develop 2nd business plan
with Student Venture Teams.
Assess student skill
acquisition and confidence
24 months Final assessment of student
skill acquisition and
confidence.
Job Growth, Increased Tax Revenue
Develop impact of high resolution data on job creation
modeling parameters
Complete 1st model
Development impact of expanded x-band radar
industry on job creation, and increased tax revenue
Complete 2"d model
•
B. Urban Flash Flood Warning Systems
Flooding is one of the most common natural hazards in the world. In the US, it is the second leading
cause of weather related fatalities, with an average of 92 people losing their lives each year (NWS 2010a).
The majority of flood deaths occur from flash floods and 63% of all flash flood deaths are vehicle related
(Ashley and Ashley 2008) An estimated average of $7.65 billion in damages is caused by flooding every
year in the US (NWS 2010b). Annual flood related damages have increased over the last century due to
urbanization and development of the nation's floodplains. The impact of urbanization typically lowers the
rainfall intensity and duration necessary to produce a flood particularly flash floods. Flash floods occur
over small time scales (-6 hours or less) in response to high -intensity rainfall within relatively short
periods of time.
This project will demonstrate the benefits of CASA radars for urban flood prediction and
management to the Fort Worth Transportation and Public Works Department, Stormwater Management
Division (TPWD Storm Water Management). Public works and stormwater departments have been
targeted as an important stakeholder for the shared ownership/operations model because of the expected
benefits they will see from the CASA system and because of their ability to raise significant funds for
water infrastructure and safety through fees to citizens and bond issuance. For example, Dallas Storm
Water Management is about to launch a $450 million project to improve the storm water drainage system
in the city(DallasNews.com 2011); and the cities of Austin, TX, and Charlotte, NC, spend up to $1
million annually on flood alert systems (PostGazette.com). However, according to a recent University
Corporation for Atmospheric Research (UCAR) report, "Flash flood events are still missed by even the
most sophisticated warning systems due to science s inability to pinpoint the location and timing of small-
scale heavy rain" (UCAR 2010 p.17). CASA radars systems can pinpoint small-scale heavy rain through
quantitative precipitation estimation (QPE) and nowcast products(Wang and Chandrasekar 2010;
Ruzanski and Chandrasekar 2011);
In this project, university researchers will collaborate with TPWD Storm Water Management
hydrologists and AECOM personnel to create an operationally viable, cost-effective approach for
integrating CASA data into existing and enhanced urban flood risk and management tools. The city's
goals are: to i) improve lead times for public works personnel responding to flash flood threats in the City
6
of Fort Worth, ii) improve accuracy for identifying and delineating flood risk areas for warnings and
response for the public works personnel; and al) improve their communications strategies to promote
timely public response.
/ The proposed prototype high -resolution flash flood warning system includes the following four
principal components QPE, nowcasting hydrologic models and hydraulic models (Figure 3). The QPE
component receives input from radar and rain gauge data to produce the best (in some objective statistical
sense) multisensor QPE. The nowcasting component receives input from the radar data to produce
quantitative precipitation forecast (QPF) out to
30 min. The hydrologic model component
.. :. _..:.: receives input from QPE and nowcast to
-, n : ` produce high -resolution analysis (i.e. the
11
current conditions) and prediction of soil
n... maps at selected locations at the current and
future time steps. For flash flood warning,
timely and seamless generation of QPE,
mu" OPE & Pointed High -Res. Hydro. a flash flood Decision nowcast, hydrologic roducts and inundation
w Noeesting Hydrate,.Y*
Modeling tning Products Maker products,
maps is critical. The large amount of
information produced must be organized and
presented to the user to allow quick and actionable
decision -making.
The translational research that needs to occur is to
match the scales of CASA data to those of hydrologic and hydraulic models such that the high -resolution
QPE information is best translated into high resolution runoff and flow information. The overall
approach is to integrate CASA data with high -resolution hydrological models for the whole city and then
conduct selective high resolution hydraulic modeling on streams that would benefit from high resolution
data the most. At the same time, AECOM will be developing a flood forecasting system for the city of
Fort Worth based on current technology, but with an eye towards integrating CASA information and
modules of the high-res prototype warning system. Close collaboration among AECOM, university
researchers and the City of Fort Worth will ensure the systems have interoperability, and allow for side -
by -side comparisons during real time events.
moisture, surface runoff and channel flow.
Figure 3. CASA Prototype Flash Flood System
4w -.. ..
The hydraulic model component receives
1> input from lateral and upstream inflows from
the hydrologic models to produce inundation
1. Metrics — Development of relevant metric of success for the City of Fort Worth such as reduced
public works personnel costs, increased lead times will be developed for project evaluation* metrics
will also be developed for each of the sub -systems (QPE, hydrology hydraulic, public response) as
well as metrics for each of the stages in the plan.
2. Comparative evaluation of CASA QPE and nowcasting — In this project, CASA QPE, nowcast,
and QPF will be compared to local ground assets and existing QPE products, from the perspective of
integration within the flood forecasting system. We will intercompare CASA QPE with products
currently available from NOAA over a range of temporal and spatial scales for a variety of
precipitation events. NOAA products include: MPE (Multisensor Precipitation Estimator), Q2, and
when available, NEXRAD Dual Pol. To measure performance, suite of widely used and accepted
error statistics will be used. In addition, CASA nowcasting algorithm will be evaluated to assess gain
in effective lead time and geographic specificity of information in comparison to other nowcasting
algorithms using a set of standard performance measures. Results will be shared with AECOM and
Stormwater Management. Chandrasekar, Colorado State U.; Rees, U. Mass; Seo, U. Texas Arlington.
7
3. Hydrologic modeling - To take full advantage of the high -resolution radar rainfall information, it is
necessary to operate hydrologic models at a scale commensurate with the scale of the quantitative
precipitation information (QPI). Because the rainfall -runoff processes are highly nonlinear and scale -
dependent, and all QPE and hydrologic models are subject to various sources of error (see, e.g , Seo
et al. 2006, 2010) the accuracy of runoff prediction is necessarily scale -sensitive (Finnerty et al.
1997). To assess the sensitivity and hence to arrive at the optimal scale of rainfall -runoff modeling
given the available QPI, the hydrologic models should offer flexibility for variable -scale operation in
addition to an established record of performance and real-time operation (Reed et al 2004 2007).
In this task, we will adapt the research version of the National Weather Service (NWS)
Hydrology Laboratory's (HL) Distributed Hydrologic Model (HL-RDHM) (Koren et al 2004) for
implementation at a fine scale. The hydrologic models in HL-RDHM to be used are SAC-HTET
(Koren et al 2010), which is gridded implementation of the heat transfer and enhanced evaporation
physics version of the Sacramento soil moisture accounting model (Burnash et al. 1995), and the
kinematic wave models for hillslope and channel routing (Koren et al. 2004) Currently, the
operational version of HL-RDHM or the Distributed Hydrologic Model (DHM), is used in the NWS
on a �4 km grid on which the model parameters already exist nationally (Koren et al. 2000; Koren et
al 2003• Anderson et al. 2006). The performance of HL-RDHM is well documented through the
Distributed Model Intercomparison Project I, or DMIP1 (Smith et al. 2004; Reed et al 2004), and
DMIP2 (Smith et al. 2012).
For rainfall -runoff modeling, we will incorporate additional finer -scale physiographic information
including the fractional impervious area for implementation at sub-1 km scale. For routing, the model
parameters can currently be derived nominally at 1 km (Sean Reed, personal communication). We
plan to reduce this to sub-1 km scale (300-500 m) pending availability of observed streamflow data.
The routing results will provide a city-wide view of flooding threats which can be drilled down for
more detailed information such as inundation maps for selected locations of particular importance
where hydraulic models will be implemented (see the hydrologic modeling section)
In the beginning of the program as the real time CASA data links are established and as we wait
for significant events we plan to prepare ourselves with hydrologic and hydraulic model exercises in
two ways: a) use the high resolution CASA data from the Oklahoma test bed, and b) use the
NEXRAD observations, to drive the models. For this, we will use the high -resolution (lkm x 1°)
NEXRAD data. CASA system itself has used auxiliary input data like this for system validation in the
past, and this approach has proven useful. To prescribe the initial conditions for the fine -scale SAC-
HTET, we will use the model states obtained from the historical HL-RDHM simulation on a coarse
(-4km) grid forced by the MPE (Seo et al. 2010) data produced operationally by the NWS West Gulf
River Forecast Center (WGRFC). Performance of the hydrologic models will be evaluated mainly
through comparisons with streamflow observations from 14 pressure transducer -based sensors located
throughout the City.
4. Hydraulic modeling - Accurately estimating the propagation of stormwater flow is a key element of
flash flood monitoring. Rainfall -runoff information having high spatial and temporal resolution
offers new potential for modeling that stormwater flow. Runoff rates estimated by hydrologic models
provide the necessary input for subsequent hydraulic routing models which compute the propagation
and inundation as these flows traveling downstream through drainage systems.
The benefit of using high -resolution hydrologic models to drive detailed hydraulic models will
not be uniform over large drainage areas. Therefore, it is necessary to identify the flood prone areas
and reaches where detailed hydrologic and hydraulic modeling will yield the greatest benefit. This
will begin with an assessment of the primary basins within the Fort Worth boundaries A set of 3 to 6
sub -catchments will be selected as candidates for detailed hydraulic modeling using inflow
hydrographs from HL-RDHM. The size of land area for these sub -catchments will be part of the
assessment and will include sufficient variation to examine sensitivity to that dimension. Sub -
catchment selection will also be influenced by the location and availability of physical stream gauges
8
needed for hydraulic model calibration and verification. The extent to which calibration and
verification may be carried out depends greatly on the availability of stream data. Using hydrographs
provided by HL-RDHM stream data will be needed for that same period of record. As part of the
model selection process, we will inventory the available data and determine the appropriate level of
model complexity. This will include gauges from the City of Fort Worth ALERT System Tarrant
Regional Water District and the US Geological Survey.
This effort will also include the selection of the appropriate hydraulic models for analyzing
detailed urban flooding. The candidate models include the US Army Corps of Engineers Hydrologic
Engineering Center River Analysis System, (HEC-RAS) Version 4.1, HEC-RAS (Brunner 2010) and
the US Environmental Protection Agency Storm Water Management Model EPA-SWMM Version
5.0 (Rossman 2010). There are of number of characteristics common to both which make these
models preferable for the detailed hydraulics modeling of urban flash flooding HEC-RAS has
recently been adopted by the US National Weather Service for unsteady modeling in its flood forecast
system, Community Hydrologic Prediction System (CHPS) Both are listed as accepted regulatory
models by the US Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) (FEMA 2012).
To develop detailed hydraulic models for the selected sub -catchments very specific terrain and
drainage course information will be assembled LiDAR survey data will be used to detailed compile
cross -sectional information for channelized flow areas Researchers will coordinate with the City of
Fort Worth to obtain existing model information and to transfer records from their public works
section containing details of as -built drainage structures The historic record of stream flow
measurements gathered as part of this task will be used to conduct calibration and then verification of
the model. Output from the sub -catchment models will be superimposed upon a GIS framework to
generate a mapped display of inundation extent This will be done using ESRI ArcGIS Server
Version 10.0. Mcenery, UTA; Cannon, City of Ft. Worth.
5. System integration, off-line testing and evaluation - In this task, we will integrate the principle
components and carry out, off line, end -to -end testing and evaluation of the system including data
ingest and flow and product generation and display as a state-of-the-art flash flood warning capability
and as a robust and reliable integrated system fit for operational use. AECOM and the City of Fort
Worth will supply information on their computational resources, so the CASA system will be feasible
for implementation by the city. To supplement the real time data we will use high resolution data
from the Oklahoma test bed (Wang and Chandrasekar 2010) and the historical archive of high -
resolution (1km x 1°) NEXRAD data, for hindcasting experiments for multiple significant events. To
prescribe the initial conditions for the fine -scale hydrologic models in these experiments, we will use
the historical simulation of HL-RDHM on a coarse grid (--4km) forced by MPE.
To evaluate performance for warning in a hindcast mode, we will use the standard measures such as
the lead time, probability of detection (POD), false alarm rate (FAR) and critical success index (CSI).
Necessarily, verification of flash flood warnings is possible only if the ground truth or sufficiently
reliable verifying information is available. For binary (i.e. hit vs. miss) verification, we will use all
locally available data sources, including those obtainable via WebEOC®. For quantitative verification
in terms of water level, we will use the water stage observations at 14 locations throughout the City.
Mcenery, UTA • Cannon, City of Ft. Worth • Seo, UTA; Chandrasekar, CSU; Rees, UlLMass.
6. Real-time testing - In the real-time mode, events that are not encountered in the off-line mode may
still arise. In this task, we will test data acquisition ingest and quality control, execution of QPE,
nowcast, hydrologic and hydraulic models, generation, publication and distribution of products and
management of all data involved in a real-time mode, to enable synchronization. In addition to
improving robustness and reliability of the system, we will also test and modify, as necessary, the
operations concept as well as the information content and look and feel of the products in a real-time
decision -making environment based on the user feedback. We will evaluate the overall system
performance in terms of reliability and timeliness of the data flow and product generation and
9
availability to the users. There will be side -by -side comparisons with the tools to be used by AECOM
for the system. The CASA flood warning system will run on UTA servers initially, but then it is
expected the part of the system will run on the city's servers.
7. Public education/user behavior - In the state of Texas, flash floods were responsible for at least
forty-two deaths in 2007, and of these deaths, over 76 percent were vehicle -related (Eblin 2007).
Despite the progress made in technological innovation flood mitigation, and warning
communication, flood fatalities remain high due to inadequate human behavior in floods (Gruntfest
1977; Montz and Gruntfest 2002). Furthermore, as human activity expands into urbanized areas, an
increased social vulnerability and a decreased flood risk tolerance persists (Brilly and Polic 2005).
Research shows the public often underestimates their level of risk, resulting in difficulties for drivers
to perceive flood danger during their daily activities (Ruin et al. 2007). A closer investigation of the
public's response to flooded roadways and to various flood warning systems is needed in order to
reduce the vulnerability of motorists on flooded roads. Warning communication must also be
addressed for improved response to flash flooding.
This project will demonstrate the capability of the CASA system in improving public response to
flash floods. To address the current behavior of motorists in the Metroplex focus groups will be
conducted with the general public to identify the physical, technological, and social circumstances
that pose the highest risk for drivers during flooding conditions. The public will be asked what actions
they take during flooding events, and what motivates them to either do the right thing or disregard
flood warnings and road barriers when driving in flooding conditions. Furthermore, using cameras
and direct observations, this study will also document what actions the public are actually taking at
different types of crossings during heavy precipitation events This study will propose tailored public
education and communication initiatives addressing how flash flood threats may best be
communicated to the public for improved response. Furthermore, this study will make warning policy
recommendations to regional emergency management and public works officials that will incorporate
how current practices and public response may be improved by incorporating CASA s integrated
flood warning system into the decision -making process.
Milestones
6 months
12 months
18 month
24 months
Milestones
6 months
12 months
18 month
QPE
Real time product development
Validation of real time products
and link to Hydrologic models
Link QPE nowcast to hydrologic
models
Validate end to end functionality
of QPE/Nowcast/hydrologic and
hydraulic model system
Hydraulics
Assess and select
hydraulic model
Obtain existing model
information, as -built
details and topographic
information
Develop structure of
Hydrology
Set up the rainfall -runoff component of the
hydrologic model
Test and validate QPE ingest and generation of
rainfall -runoff products
Set up the hydrologic routing component of the
hydrologic model
Test and validate generation of hydrologic
routing product
Public Response
Identify flood -prone areas
and warning systems in
place
Observe driver behavior
at flooded City crossings
Conduct focus
10
Integrated System/Real time
Evaluation
Develop interfaces for linking
sub -components
Off line integration completed
Comparison with AECOM
System plan
Integrated system testing
24 months
hydraulic model
Calibrate and validate
hydraulic model
Produce mapped
inundation product
group/interview research
with the public regarding
flash flood behaviors
Recommend public
education initiatives to
improve public response
to flash floods
Real time system
implementation
Real time testing and
validation; side by side
C. Productizing MCC
A CASA radar network is characterized by an ability to execute scans based on arbitrary geotagged
inputs. The inputs may be weather features such as "storm cells" detected by the radar network itself,
`cues" based on a detections made by another type of sensor, predictions from a forecast model, warning
polygons from NWS forecasters, tornado detections from a human spotters, or locations such as stadiums
and race tracks otherwise deemed important to monitor. Unlike radars such as NEXRAD that "sit -and -
spin," a CASA network samples each different geotagged input at a rate that depends on the specific
attributes of the input. In CASA's Oklahoma testbed, this "collaborative adaptive sensing of the
atmosphere' was used to track tornadic storm cells through the network with rapid multi -tilt PPI sector
scans and RHI storm top finder scans while at the same time performing periodic 360 degree surveillance
scans to search for new storm cells. In the DFW testbed, this capability will be used not only to track
storm cells through the Metroplex, but will also allow the network of radars to be "cued" by other sensors
such as lightning detectors to explore relationships between lightning discharge and dual-pol radar returns
as part of a study on convective storm initiation. This adaptive scanning capability will also be used, for
example, for focused scans over specific hydrologic basins and risk zones to obtain high resolution
rainfall estimates over those sensitive regions.
Because the pencil beams of weather radar require a certain amount of time to scan a given volume and
overlapping radars require a certain amount of coordination, as when one of them is heavily attenuated in
a certain direction or when dual -Doppler wind vectors need to be synthesized, a challenging resource
allocation problem emerges. The middleware that manages this allocation of resources in a CASA radar
network is termed the "meteorological command and control" (MCC) The goal of this project is to
productize the MCC so that (i) the heterogeneous mix of radars from different vendors that will ultimately
make up the DFW testbed network can all be put under collaborative adaptive control, and (ii) so that
ultimately the MCC concept can be transferred through licensing to the vendors participating in the DFW
testbed and other radar vendors.
Productizing the MCC will involve the following activities:
(i) Generalization The existing MCC suite of software modules was developed for the purpose of
performing research experiments with the CASA prototype radar that was deployed in the "tornado alley"
of Oklahoma from 2006-2011. As software for exploratory research using a homogeneous network of
radars, it was expeditious to ` hardcode" into the software certain assumptions regarding the radars, the
communications network that interconnected them, and the very limited set of geotagged inputs that the
network needed to respond to.
A first step in productizing the MCC would, therefore, require making these assumptions explicit e.g.,
through appropriate documentation defining the interfaces between the radars and the MCC, and the
development of setup tools to allow the end -user to specify the characteristics of the radars and the
networking that interconnects them, the types of inputs the network will need to respond to along with
requirements on how each different input needs to be scanned (e.g sample rate, vertical volume,
variables of interest, etc.) and the requirements on data storage and archiving. This step is will allow an
arbitrary network of radars to be integrated and coordinated under MCC management.
11
(ii) Validation and Testing. Once step (i) is complete, this step will involve the CASA MCC engineering
team working with the radar network vendors (Le , Ridgeline Instruments) to understand the needs of both
the vendor and the vendor's end -users so as to ensure the MCC is configured to meet those needs. This
step will identify the "value proposition" to the vendor and the vendor's end -users by allowing them to
compare the performance of the radar network with and without the MCC.
(iii) Extensions. The validation and testing may uncover certain missing elements or limitations in the
MCC design. Missing elements may include "features" (i.e., geotagged inputs) that cannot be detected
using the MCC s current baseline set of convective weather ' feature detectors. ' Internally, the MCC is
based on a very flexible framework known as a "blackboard framework." Meeting the requirements of the
experiments conducted by CASA with its Oklahoma prototype network exercised only a very limited
range of the capabilities of the blackboard framework. It is thus conceivable that a vendor or an end -user
may have data collection needs that, although within the capabilities of the radars, cannot be satisfactorily
achieved by the existing MCC design. The actions taken should such limitations be exposed, i.e., whether
or not the changes are made, would depend on a tradeoff between effort and value.
(iv) Automation. In addition to tools for set-up and configuration, a version of an MCC for 24-7
operations would require the creation of modules for status monitoring, built-in test, fault detection and
response, and automated operator notification of faults. Included in this would be fail-safe features to
avoid equipment damage both when under MCC control and when control is lost, and to ensure personnel
safety, as for example when maintenance is being performed on a radar. Such modules were not needed
for CASA's research experiments since these were typically of limited duration and performed for under
fairly close supervision.
Milestones Generalization
6 months Complete an initial
version of the MCC
interface
specifications and
configuration
dialogs.
12 months Release to a vendor
an initial version of
the MCC with
interface
specfications and
configuration
dialogs.
18 months Iterate the interfaces
and usability with
the vendors and
network operators.
24 months Complete final
`shrinkwrapped"
MCC for sale and
Validation &
Testing
Perform initial
unit testing
with the CASA
radars.
Perform initial
and testing by
integrating the
first vendor
radar into the
network.
Continue to
integrate new
radars as they
are installed in
the network.
Continued bug
checking.
12
Extensions Automation
Identify missing
`feature detectors" and
`input methods," e.g.,
HMI's for entering
geotagged inputs.
Begin implementation
of missing feature
detectors and input
methods.
Work with radar
vendor and DFW
system users to
identify deficiencies in
MCC performance.
Test new feature
detectors alongside
existing ones to ensure
proper functioning and
no untoward
interactions.
Finalize the suite of
feature detectors and
input methods to be
Begin design of the
automated
components.
Complete an initial
version of the
automated
components and begin
testing with the
existing DFW network
of radars.
Complete a next
release based on
experiences of one
year of DFW
operations.
Finalize the
automation
components and bug
licensing to radar
vendors.
packaged with the
MCC release
check through
operation in the DFW
network.
D. Storm Initiat►on Products
Improvements in the detection and forecast of convective initiation (CI) and convective evolution are two
major strategic NWS objectives. A new paradigm for detection and prediction of atmospheric phenomena
is dynamically merging (fusing) data from multiple observing platforms; such a system optimizes the
advantages from a diverse set of observations. The University of Oklahoma's Center for Analysis and
Prediction of Storms (CAPS) has several analysis and assimilation tools (e.g., ADAS, 3DVAR and
Ensemble Kalman Filter — EnKF) that can be adapted to the test bed region All have the capability to
assimilate all available radars, local wind and thermodynamic profile data (Raob, GPS lidar, and
radiometers), ACARS and TAMDAR take -off and landing data, any satellite data that have low latency
(generally GOES infrared and visible channels), and all surface data (e.g. ASOS, AWOS, MADIS). This
project will focus on ADAS.
Initially (i.e., spring 2012), a continuous cycling analysis will be produced by ADAS every 30 minutes.
The analysis will have 1 km horizontal resolution and a stretched terrain -following vertical grid with 20 m
(near ground, first level at 10 m AGL) to 700 m (aloft) vertical resolution. Once gridded fields exist, users
can obtain any field or diagnostic they desire. This will provide users with frequent looks at, e.g.,
moisture convergence, vertical profiles, and sounding calculations. Products that identify areas of likely
convective initiation (CI) and related CI products of interest (e.g., moisture convergence, delta fields,
wind shear, low-level boundaries, etc.) from the 1 km gridded forecast products will be developed using
applying methods already used for the probabilistic forecasts.
Milestones
6 month Evaluation/verification of current ADAS analysis of CI variables and storm
representation. Identify key, precursor variables to CI. Consult with NWS
forecasters on key decision making needs
12 months Evaluate value of different observing sensors to CI analysis.
Test statistical, post -processing techniques to best elicit CI precursors.
18 months Develop automated algorithm to identify expected areas of CI (as best determined
from analyses and possibly NWP forecasts as time permits).
24 months Complete evaluation and refining of CI algorithm.
Test algorithm in real-time operations for evaluation by forecasters for decision -
making impacts.
•
VI. Education
There are two distinct educational opportunities provided by CASA-WSII: participation in the
Translational Research (TR) projects and involvement in the Student Venture Teams that will be part of
the entrepreneurship course offered at the University of North Texas. (See Business Models section for a
description of the course.) Through the Translational Research projects, a small group of graduate
students (TR students) will experience first hand, how having practitioners involved in the process
changes the goals and timelines of a project CASA —WSII will ensure that all TR students are truly an
integral part of a practitioner university partnership, attending meetings, presenting and discussing results.
TR students will also participate, as part of their research assistantships, in the Student Venture Teams as
technical content experts. In this way, TR students are exposed to the technology evaluation and
commercialization process. A broader group of graduate students and select undergraduate seniors will
participate in the Student Venture Teams to create strategies around warning system deployment or
13
commercialization of component technologies. These students will have access to the translational
research teams work through periodic presentations on goals and progress.
VII. Assessment Plan
The success of the proposed partnership to create an ecosystem that drives innovation will be assessed by
evaluating the following:
1. Transfer of domain expertise between the various participants
2. Movement of the technology along the path of commercialization
3. Addition of new stakeholders and infusion of new capital
4. Readiness of the new workforce required to drive economic growth
1. Transfer of domain expertise - Every participant in the ecosystem brings a different piece of
disciplinary knowledge that needs to be shared with the other participants. The various academic
participants bring an understanding of how weather systems work, how the CASA radar network can
enhance our understanding of the weather, how this new information can be linked to existing warning
decision technologies, and how users of the weather information respond to what is communicated. The
practitioners (National Weather Service City of Fort Worth) understand how procurement of new
systems takes place in the weather enterprise, organizational resistance to change (new processes and new
technologies), and the risk associated with adoption of new technologies. Finally, the private sector
participants (AECOM, Ridgeline) understand the market (commercial and government) for these
technologies, competitive factors and politico -economic climate that influences the market. A continuous
and vibrant exchange of information thus is critical to the success of the ecosystem.
Related metrics:
1. Number of cross -sector exchanges between participants (teleconferences, web conferences, in -
person meetings)
2. Number of technical documents developed/exchanged (white papers, specification sheets)
3. Number of joint publications
2. Path to commercialization - CASA technologies have entered the Valley of Death with CASA
receiving the last tranche of ERC funding in Year 1 of this proposal. The radar network has been
prototyped and demonstrated in an operational environment (severe weather decision making in
Oklahoma) and can be considered to be at Technology Readiness Level 7 (TRL 7) in meeting this
requirement. However, development of a flood warning system still remains at TRL 3 with system
components that yet need to be integrated into the network. Individual components of the system
(MC&C, rainfall estimation algorithms, storm initiation models) are at various levels of readiness.
Deployment of the system in Dallas Fort Worth — in an operational environment- will help move the
technologies forward. Evaluation of CASA technologies (and their readiness) will have to be measured.
Related metrics:
1. Technology Readiness Level of various systems and subsystems
2. Number of products put into an operational environment
3. Number of licenses issued/ patents granted
4. Business plans developed (by Student Venture Teams and as reported by industrial participants)
3. Addition of new stakeholders and infusion of new capital - The success of the ecosystem enabled by
this proposal will also need to be measured by the additional interest in generates in the weather
enterprise. While the current group of partners and investors have made a significant commitment
(technical and financial) to the project (technical and financial), the ecosystem should be able to attract
new potential users of the weather data, new weather data resellers and sensor manufacturers and system
capability enhancers. Accordingly, the following metrics will be measured:
1. New stakeholder groups such as transportation, aviation, utilities, medical emergency management.
2. Additional funding (private, government, academic sectors)
14
3. New system capability enhancers (sensor manufacturers, weather data resellers)
4. New businesses started
4. Readiness of Workforce - A final measure of the success of the ecosystem will be its ability to
prepare the next generation of engineers, computer scientists, meteorologists and social scientists to
participate in the new industrial sectors spawned by CASA technologies. This requires the active
participation of students in this ecosystem, the development of new course material and publishing of
findings. The following metrics will be used to measure success:
1. Number of students participating in Student Venture Teams and across the CASA enterprise
2. Number of student -practitioner interactions
3. Surveys of students to see how well they understand the commercialization process (pre- and post -
classes)
4. Number of new courses developed
5 Number of related publications in academic and trade journals.
The metrics will be tracked on Excel worksheets owned by the Director and maintained with the help of
Dr Tony Mendes. There will be at least two enterprise -wide meetings to assess the metrics and results
will be presented to NSF at meetings.
VIII. Management
The Principal Investigator, Brenda Philips, will serve as director of CASA-WSII. She has extensive
experience in leading multidisciplinary groups of academic researchers and practitioners, and managing
long distance collaborations through her 9 year tenure at the CASA-ERC. The deputy director of the
CASA-WSII will be Dr. V. Chandrasekar, a senior faculty member who has multiple patents and consults
with the National Weather Service and the private sector for translational research in radar meteorology
Each project (Business models flash flood warning, MCC, Storm Initiation) will have co -leads, one from
the academic side and the practitioner side. Tony Mendes, entrepreneurship professor, will lead CASA-
WSII's educational activities. This group will meet at least monthly for update on progress and sharing of
information.
Supporting the director, will be a part-time project manager, Apoorva Bajaj, who will address IP issues
and has had initial discussions with third -party funders on the appropriate intellectual property policies,
including patent disclosures and filings, and coordinate usage of the DFW Urban Demonstration
Network. This position is funded through the CASA ERC. The NCTCOG will make available a full time
administrator, Amanda Everly, to the project, funded through fees generated by the DFW Urban
Demonstration Network.
CASA-WSII will establish an advisory board with representatives from all the participating institutions,
third party investors we will also target leaders from other urban areas to participate in the steering
committee so they can see the progress of the project, as well as representatives from key stakeholder
groups The advisory board will meet three times during the two-year grant using web conferencing
technology.
As of the 2000 census, the racial makeup of the DFW area was 13.9% African American <1% Native
American and Pacific Islander, and 21.7% Hispanics/Latinos (Wikipedia). Helping to build a diverse
pipeline of students interested in and pursuing STEM fields, including women is of great interest to our
project team and will be one of the foci of the entrepreneurship education program and graduate student
recruitment for translations research. However, we also understand that to build a diverse pipeline, it is
critically important to include role models within the project team. The PI is an African American
woman, and the Senior Personnel include a Latino male and two women. In addition, two of the
investigators are very involved in diversity efforts on their respective campuses
15
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4
M&C Review
Page 1 of 2
COUNCIL ACTION: Approved on 1/15/2013
Official site of the City of Fort Worth, Texas
FORT WORT II
DATE: 1/15/2013 REFERENCE NO.: **C-26055 LOG NAME 20CASAYRI
CODE C TYPE CONSENT PUBLIC HEARING: NO
SUBJECT: Authorize Execution of a Memorandum of Understanding with the University of
Massachusetts, Amherst and Payment of Grant Matching Funds in the Aggregate
Amount of $300,000.00 to Integrate Weather Radar Data into a Flood Warning System
(ALL COUNCIL DISTRICTS)
--,
RECOMMENDATION:
It is recommended that the City Council authorize the execution of a Memorandum of Understanding
with the University of Massachusetts, Amherst and payment of grant matching funds in the aggregate
amount of $300,000 00 to integrate weather radar data into a flood warning system.
DISCUSSION:
The Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) recommended by this Mayor and Council
Communication provides for the City's participation in a regional initiative to dramatically improve
early warning capabilities related to hazardous weather events. As an end product of this effort a
system will be in place for high resolution, real-time rain intensity data to be automatically fed into and
processed by the drainage models for two of the largest watersheds in the city (including parts of
Council Districts 3 5, 6, 8 and 9). Both of these watersheds include chronic flash flood areas. The
new system will allow 15 minutes or more of advanced warning of impending flash floods in these
watersheds. This effort will also provide the software platform for progressively making similar
connections for other watershed models throughout the City to eventually develop greater flood
warning capability citywide.
The primary source of funding for this initiative is a National Science Foundation grant to the
Engineering Research Center for Collaborative Adaptive Sensing of the Atmosphere (CASA) in the
amount of $1,340,000.00. The agency administering the work funded by this grant is the University
of Massachusetts, Amherst. By this MOU the City of Fort Worth Stormwater Utility commits to
provide a total in the amount of $300,000 00 (two installments of $150,000.00 each) over the next two
years in support of the initiative. Other partners include: the City of Fort Worth Emergency
Management Office the North Central Texas Council of Governments, and the National Weather
Service Office of Science and Technology.
The central feature in the flood warning system to be developed as a part of this MOU is the CASA
radar network. The radar technology used in the CASA system is significantly more precise than
conventional weather radar systems, allowing much more accurate forecasts to be developed much
earlier during the development of a storm event. The specific focus of the effort facilitated by the
recommended MOU will be the development of software to integrate rainfall estimates generated by
the CASA system into existing drainage models.
Flash flooding is the most deadly weather hazard in Texas. Since 1986 there have been 17 fatalities
in the City of Fort Worth as a result of automobiles being swept off of the road during flood
events The work that will be accomplished via this MOU will greatly contribute toward mitigating the
risk of future such tragedies in Fort Worth by. improving the lead time for emergency response to
flash flood events improving precision for predicting in advance the specific locations where flooding
is expected, and developing effective communication strategies for warning the public of impending
flooding conditions.
http:/lapps.cfwnet org/council_paeketlmc review.asp?ID=17900&councildate=1/15/2013 02/19/2013
M&C Review Page 2 of 2
MWBE - A waiver for the goal for MBE/SBE subcontracting requirements was requested and
approved by the MWWBE Office because the purchase of goods or services is from sources where
subcontracting or supplier opportunities are negligible
This study includes ALL COUNCIL DISTRICTS.
FISCAL INFORMATION/CERTIFICATION:
The Finance Director certifies that funds are available in the current operating budget, as
appropriated, of the Stormwater Utility Fund.
TO Fund/Account/Centers FROM Fund/Account/Centers
1) PE69 539120 0209207 $300.000.00
Submitted for City Manaaer's Office by: Fernando Costa (6122)
Oriainatina Department Head: Douglas W. Wiersig (7801)
Additional Information Contact: Amy Cannon (2289)
ATTACHMENTS
http://apps.cfwnet org/council_packet/mc_review.asp?ID=-17900&councildate=1 /15/2013 02/19/2013